Famous quotes
Quotes by famous people, credited to who said them. Your own quotes must not match any of these. More are added all the time. 1,158,808 quotes Who coined it · How we decide
EnglishItalianoPolskiעבריתFrançaisPortuguêsفارسیEspañol中文РусскийDeutschالعربيةहिन्दी日本語ΕλληνικάLatina
Philip Tetlock
4 quotes
“beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded.”
Philip Tetlock (born 1954) wikiquote, CC BY-SA 4.0 source
“How you think matters more than what you think.”
Philip Tetlock (born 1954) first seen 2010 wikiquote, CC BY-SA 4.0 source
Recorded in: Philip Tetlock, quoted in: Stewart Brand (2010). Whole Earth Discipline. p. 124
“The intellectually aggressive hedgehogs knew one big thing and sought, under the banner of parsimony, to expand the explanatory power of that big thing to “cover” new cases; the more eclectic foxes knew many little things and were content to improvise ad hoc solutions to keep pace with a rapidly changing world.”
Philip Tetlock (born 1954) first seen 2012 wikiquote, CC BY-SA 4.0 source
Recorded in: In: Justin Fox. "How to Be Bad at Forecasting," in Harvard Business Review, May 11, 2012.
“Philip Tetlock has just produced a study which suggests we should view expertise in political forecasting--by academics or intelligence analysts, independent pundits, journalists or institutional specialists--with the same skepticism that the well-informed now apply to stockmarket forecasting... It is the scientific spirit with which he tackled his project that is the most notable thing about his book, but the findings of his inquiry are important and, for both reasons, everyone seriously concerned with forecasting, political risk, strategic analysis and public policy debate would do well to read the book.”
Philip Tetlock (born 1954) first seen 2015 wikiquote, CC BY-SA 4.0 source
Recorded in: Paul Monk, Australian Financial Review, cited in: Philip E. Tetlock. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?, 2015. Back cover.